So Cal Multifamily Sales Pulse - September 1, 2024 - September 7, 2024

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Here's What's Happening In The Market, Here’s What This Means For You

Recession Forecasts Have Been Wrong For Years. Here's Why A 'Perfect Indicator' Doesn't Exist.
It hasn't been a great time for folks in the business of predicting recessions.
Landlords Face $1.5T Maturity Wall Before 2026
About 25% of that amount will be hard to refinance.
Apartment Earnings Point to Continued Momentum
Strong demand during the first quarter carried forward into peak leasing season.
US Small Business Surges, Sentiment Improves, Treasury Report Says
The U.S. is averaging 430,000 new business applications per month so far in 2024. 
Wells Fargo Chief Economist: CRE Can Rebound On A Single Rate Cut, But Lending Will Be Slower To Move
The impact of the first rate cut in more than four years could be mostly psychological.
Rite Aid Exits Chapter 11 With Its Store Fleet Slashed In US Drugstore Shakeout
Pharmacy chain now has roughly 1,300 stores following restructuring.
Residential Mortgage Originations Spike in Q2
A cautionary note is warranted, as we shouldn't read too much into one great quarter.
Banks Have Cut Lending to Homebuilders By 10%
This represents the biggest credit crunch for homebuilders in more than a decade.
Big Maturity Wall in 2025? Wait Until You See the $5.5T Through 2028
There is an ongoing maturity wall of more than $1 trillion through at least 2028.
Fitch: Distress in Office, Multifamily Loans Still Playing Out
The largest U.S. banks remain in the best position to weather further loan performance declines for office and multifamily.
Housing Market Picks Up, With Sales Near Two-Year High
Southern California home prices held steady at all-time highs, with sales rising from last year's lows, CoreLogic's figures show.
Fed Rate-Cut Size This Month To Hinge On Job Market Health
Analysts largely expect the Fed to stick to a quarter-point reduction, given that employers have continued to hire although at a slower pace than before.
Demand for Multifamily Deals on the Rise
Low supply in a key market is helping the recovery.
CRE Delinquencies Accelerate As Industry Waits for Rate Relief
The overall delinquency ratio for CRE loans has reached 1.450%.
Fed Beige Book Reveals a Slowing Economy
Commercial real estate activity has been mixed across the districts.
The Actual Effect of Federal Elections on Commercial Real Estate
The assumption is that in a federal election year, just about everything is put on hold—including commercial real estate activity—until a new president is elected. 
California Rent Control Battle Goes To The Ballot
 Voters shot down similar rent control propositions in 2018 and 2020, but advocates are hoping this year will be different. 

Orange County

Live MLS Link PDF Link

Orange County Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 4.44%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.74
3
Closed Sales Last Week
55
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$1,986,000
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
0
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
1
Financed Transactions Last Week
2
All Cash Transactions Last Week
3
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
0
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

16
New Listings Last Week
6
Months of Inventory
269
Total Number of Active Listings
$990,979,146
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
7
Active Under Contract Last Week
4
Pending Listings Last Week
7
Expired Listings Last Week

Southern California

Live MLS Link PDF Link

Southern California Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 4.63%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.16
4
Closed Sales Last Week
17
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$1,370,500
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
4
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
3
Financed Transactions Last Week
1
All Cash Transactions Last Week
3
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
1
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

11
New Listings Last Week
7
Months of Inventory
171
Total Number of Active Listings
$470,891,384
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
2
Active Under Contract Last Week
1
Pending Listings Last Week
5
Expired Listings Last Week

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