So Cal Multifamily Sales Pulse - November 10, 2024 - November 16, 2024

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Here's What's Happening In The Market, Here’s What This Means For You

Trump’s Policies Set To Ripple Through Global CRE
It includes an extension of 2017 tax cuts, increased government spending and targeted tariffs on China, Mexico, Canada and the European Union, including the UK.
Multifamily Confidence Remains Low
The share of respondents who thought overall market conditions were worse in Q3 fell.
Interest Rate Trajectory Still Unclear
A look at past patterns is very telling.
67% Of Parents Will Use BNPL To Finance The Holidays
Parents are using pay later plans to justify large purchases and better manage their finances, according to a new survey.
Distressed CRE Market Tops $100B in Q3
Office properties made up about half of the market distress.
Services Inflation is Still a Problem
Services inflation is putting additional pressure on consumers.
Southern California Housing Market Update: Nov. 2024
Southern California home sales volume declined by -5.9% from September 2023
California Multifamily Building Owners Have Embraced Accessory Dwelling Units (ADUs)
The ability to build more ADUs faster is thanks to new laws that remove barriers to construction and prefabricated off-site construction methods.
Multifamily Market Set for Modest Rebound as Fed Rate Cuts Ease Pressure
Multifamily deal flow is expected to rise as rate cuts ease distress and unlocks new refinancing opportunities.
‘Contradictions And Mixed Signals’ In The Economy Won’t Affect Holiday Sales Growth: NRF
The trade organization is maintaining its holiday forecast for the year, stating that households are in decent financial shape.
NAR Predicts 6% Home Mortgage Rate Under Trump
We did not get a home sales recovery this year after an awful 2023.
Southern California To See Modest Rent Hikes By 2026, USC Says
If accurate, the forecast says rents will be up an average $300 monthly since the pandemic in LA County and $600-$700 in the rest of Southern California.
CRE Braces For Higher Costs, Perhaps Inflation Stemming From Trump Tariffs
Developers and builders are fretting over the possibility of material cost increases. 
U.S. Foreclosure Activity Increases In October 2024
Foreclosure Starts Increase 6 Percent from Last Month; Completed Foreclosures Increase 12 Percent from Last Month.
Multifamily CMBS Delinquency Rate Declines In October
Trepp reported that the delinquency rate for multifamily commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) loans fell in October, breaking a string of 5 consecutive monthly increases.
Real Estate Market Recovery Expected as Soft Landing Becomes Economic Consensus
Economic data remain strong and real estate values and performance seem to be nearing bottom.
Sentiment Index Reaches Highest Level Since 2021
Almost all respondents believe asset values will be higher or the same in a year.
October Mall Traffic Bodes Well for Holiday Season Shopping
Mall visits showed a sizable bounce-back from September.
CMBS Loan Losses Were Down in October
It was the smallest monthly disposed loan amount over the last 12 months.
Larry Summers Still Thinks Inflation Hasn’t Been Tamed
The Federal Reserve doesn’t necessarily disagree.
Trump Tax Changes Could Significantly Impact CRE
People will need to navigate a complex mix of implications.
Multifamily Cap Rates Rebound, Sparking Fresh Investor Interest
But they haven't translated into stabilized valuations.
Credit Data Shows: There’s No Housing Crash Coming
Homeowners are in a great spot, with very little stress in the data
 

Orange County

Live MLS Link PDF Link

Orange County Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 4.44%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.74
11
Closed Sales Last Week
56
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$2,338,727
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
2
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
7
Financed Transactions Last Week
4
All Cash Transactions Last Week
7
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
4
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

16
New Listings Last Week
6
Months of Inventory
248
Total Number of Active Listings
$888,285,619
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
7
Active Under Contract Last Week
3
Pending Listings Last Week
5
Expired Listings Last Week

Southern California

Live MLS Link PDF Link

Southern California Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 4.63%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.16
6
Closed Sales Last Week
28
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$1,251,633
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
3
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
5
Financed Transactions Last Week
1
All Cash Transactions Last Week
6
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
0
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

5
New Listings Last Week
8
Months of Inventory
166
Total Number of Active Listings
$465,666,135
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
7
Active Under Contract Last Week
2
Pending Listings Last Week
2
Expired Listings Last Week

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