So Cal Multifamily Sales Pulse - May 26, 2024 - June 1, 2024
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Here's What's Happening In The Market, Here’s What This Means For You

| Multifamily Absorption Skyrockets in Q1 Absorption, time on the market, applications, new supply are all at historic highs. |
Calif. Bill Limiting Corporate Homeownership Advances There are a number of such bills pending in various state legislatures and Congress. |
| Jeffrey Gundlach Says We'll Have a Recession This Year He also thinks it's possible US government debt will have to be restructured. |
Confidence Ticks Up after Three Straight Declines but Consumers Remain Anxious about the Future Confidence improved in May after three consecutive months of decline. |
| The Death Knell Is Tolling For Family Sit-Down Restaurants: What's The Future For All Their Empty Husks? Restaurants that took the U.S. by storm 30 to 40 years ago are beginning to drop like flies. |
Bond Investors Worry About Government Debt and That's Bad for CRE As debt grows, bond markets face a significant problem that could ultimately drive CRE loan interest rates up even higher. |
| Fed Raises Specter of Rate Hike Again Fed president Neel Kashkari just said it and the possibility was also raised in the recent FOMC minutes. |
US Home Prices Up 7.4% In A Year, Says Case-Shiller’s 20-City Index Los Angeles-Orange County is up 8.8% over 12 months. |
| Consumer Confidence Rebounds For First Time In 3 Months Consumer confidence unexpectedly rose in May, ending three straight months of declines as Americans cheered a resilient labor market. |
Fed’s Kashkari Says Interest-Rate Hikes Not Entirely Ruled Out US central bank’s policy stance is restrictive, but policymakers haven’t entirely ruled out additional interest-rate increases. |
| Debt Originations May Have Bottomed What it's no guarantee, volume changes have slowed enough to make them virtually flat year over year. |
Fed Beige Book Cites “Rising Uncertainty and Greater Downside Risk” With inflation still trending above the Fed’s target of 2%, the Federal Open Market Committee is expected to maintain the benchmark interest rate in its current range. |
| CMBS Loan Modifications Expected to Rise The volume of maturing CMBS loans is “quite significant,” Trepp says in a new report. |
Economic Activity Expanded But CRE Softened, Fed Says The Beige Book points to 'supply concerns, tight credit conditions, and elevated borrowing costs." |
| Pending Home Sales Reach Four-Year Low in April All four U.S. regions registered month-over-month and year-over-year decreases, with the West and Midwest seeing the sharpest declines. |
Dow Closes More Than 550 Points Higher To Post Best Day In 2024, Stocks Wrap A Winning May Investors wrapped up a strong month after the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure came in largely around expectations. |
| Past Due Commercial Real Estate Loans Reach Highest Total in 11 Years Weak Industry Demand Weighs on Quality of Debt Portfolios, Even as Bank Profits Grow |
Redfin Reports Renters Are Staying Put Longer, With 1 in 6 Now Living in The Same Home For 10 Years or More The uptick in tenure is beneficial for renters and their landlords. |
| ‘Worst’ Yet To Come For Commercial Real Estate: Conference Board Many banks have pursued a policy of “extend and pretend” to avoid writing off troubled commercial real estate loans, according to a Conference Board economist. |
Inflation: Better News Ahead? Over the past several months, inflation news has been frustrating for those hoping for (praying for?) cuts in the Effective Federal Fund Rate |
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