So Cal Multifamily Sales Pulse - May 26, 2024 - June 1, 2024

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Here's What's Happening In The Market, Here’s What This Means For You

Multifamily Absorption Skyrockets in Q1
Absorption, time on the market, applications, new supply are all at historic highs.
Calif. Bill Limiting Corporate Homeownership Advances
There are a number of such bills pending in various state legislatures and Congress.
Jeffrey Gundlach Says We'll Have a Recession This Year
He also thinks it's possible US government debt will have to be restructured.
Confidence Ticks Up after Three Straight Declines but Consumers Remain Anxious about the Future
Confidence improved in May after three consecutive months of decline.
The Death Knell Is Tolling For Family Sit-Down Restaurants: What's The Future For All Their Empty Husks?
Restaurants that took the U.S. by storm 30 to 40 years ago are beginning to drop like flies.
Bond Investors Worry About Government Debt and That's Bad for CRE
As debt grows, bond markets face a significant problem that could ultimately drive CRE loan interest rates up even higher.
Fed Raises Specter of Rate Hike Again
Fed president Neel Kashkari just said it and the possibility was also raised in the recent FOMC minutes.
US Home Prices Up 7.4% In A Year, Says Case-Shiller’s 20-City Index
Los Angeles-Orange County is up 8.8% over 12 months.
Consumer Confidence Rebounds For First Time In 3 Months
Consumer confidence unexpectedly rose in May, ending three straight months of declines as Americans cheered a resilient labor market.
Fed’s Kashkari Says Interest-Rate Hikes Not Entirely Ruled Out
US central bank’s policy stance is restrictive, but policymakers haven’t entirely ruled out additional interest-rate increases.
Debt Originations May Have Bottomed
What it's no guarantee, volume changes have slowed enough to make them virtually flat year over year.
Fed Beige Book Cites “Rising Uncertainty and Greater Downside Risk”
With inflation still trending above the Fed’s target of 2%, the Federal Open Market Committee is expected to maintain the benchmark interest rate in its current range.
CMBS Loan Modifications Expected to Rise 
The volume of maturing CMBS loans is “quite significant,” Trepp says in a new report.
Economic Activity Expanded But CRE Softened, Fed Says
The Beige Book points to 'supply concerns, tight credit conditions, and elevated borrowing costs."
Pending Home Sales Reach Four-Year Low in April
All four U.S. regions registered month-over-month and year-over-year decreases, with the West and Midwest seeing the sharpest declines.
Dow Closes More Than 550 Points Higher To Post Best Day In 2024, Stocks Wrap A Winning May
Investors wrapped up a strong month after the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure came in largely around expectations.
Past Due Commercial Real Estate Loans Reach Highest Total in 11 Years
Weak Industry Demand Weighs on Quality of Debt Portfolios, Even as Bank Profits Grow
Redfin Reports Renters Are Staying Put Longer, With 1 in 6 Now Living in The Same Home For 10 Years or More
The uptick in tenure is beneficial for renters and their landlords.
‘Worst’ Yet To Come For Commercial Real Estate: Conference Board
Many banks have pursued a policy of “extend and pretend” to avoid writing off troubled commercial real estate loans, according to a Conference Board economist.
Inflation: Better News Ahead?
Over the past several months, inflation news has been frustrating for those hoping for (praying for?) cuts in the Effective Federal Fund Rate

Orange County

Live MLS Link PDF Link

Orange County Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 4.44%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.74
11
Closed Sales Last Week
64
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$2,315,909
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
4
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
7
Financed Transactions Last Week
4
All Cash Transactions Last Week
8
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
3
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

16
New Listings Last Week
7
Months of Inventory
244
Total Number of Active Listings
$894,264,759
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
9
Active Under Contract Last Week
2
Pending Listings Last Week
4
Expired Listings Last Week

Southern California

Live MLS Link PDF Link

Southern California Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 4.63%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.14
6
Closed Sales Last Week
51
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$2,061,833
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
3
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
5
Financed Transactions Last Week
1
All Cash Transactions Last Week
3
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
3
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

7
New Listings Last Week
9
Months of Inventory
157
Total Number of Active Listings
$460,295,274
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
0
Active Under Contract Last Week
5
Pending Listings Last Week
5
Expired Listings Last Week

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