So Cal Multifamily Sales Pulse - March 24, 2024 - March 30, 2024

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Here's What's Happening In The Market, Here’s What This Means For You

Interest Rate Cuts? Not So Fast
Expectations for the timing and number of interest rate cuts by the Fed in 2024 were sharply revised in February due to the ongoing strength of the labor market.

Malls: Are They Coming Back?
the narrowing visit gaps suggest that shoppers are increasingly returning to the segment, and foot traffic may yet pick up again in 2024.

CRE Prices Post Slowest Annual Decline in More Than a Year
Apartment prices posted the largest monthly decline of the property types in February, falling 1.0%. 

Bleak Deal Volume Hides Recent Growth
But things still aren’t great says MSCI.

Ten-X Transactions Accelerating as Sellers Get Real About Pricing
Investors want to get off sidelines, more sellers accepting lower prices.

Apartment Rental Fraud Becoming Increasingly Sophisticated
More than half of rental fraud is detected after residents move in.

The Status of Maturing Loans in 2024
That’s the combination of $600 billion new and $270 billion from 2023 that are likely extensions.

West Region Records Nation’s Slowest Apartment Rent Growth Since Pandemic
Meanwhile, rents in the nation’s three other regions – the South, Midwest and Northeast – have all grown effective rents at a rate faster than the national norm.

Multifamily Investors Plan to Transact More Soon
High risk, such as opportunistic, distressed, and debt, are the most attractive investment strategies for 2024.

These Markets Have the Biggest Gap Between Renting and Owning
In Richmond, home renters saved $696 per month compared to buying.

Commercial Real Estate Is Itching For A Rebound Two Years After Start Of Fed Rate Hikes
Investors have been adjusting to the likelihood of fewer rate cuts this year than were anticipated only a few months ago.

Washington Prime Faces Default Of $85M Loan On Westminster Mall
JPMorgan Chase provided money to OC shopping center with negative cash flow

Lenders Show Greater Urgency to Close Multifamily Deals
After a difficult year, the capital markets for multifamily borrowers are opening up with a narrowing buyer-seller gap, plateauing interest rates and increased liquidity.

Bond Traders Think Everyone Else Is Too Optimistic About the Fed
The Fed says that rate cuts are coming, but they keep providing servings of ‘on the other hand.’

Delinquent Multifamily Loans Are Becoming a Problem For Banks
Past due multifamily loans have risen 81.3% year over year.

Fed Posts Record Loss Of $114.3 Billion In 2023
A record loss tied to expenses related to managing the U.S. central bank's short-term interest rate target.

With Debt Harder To Get, CRE Finance Is Facing A 'New Reality'
Commercial real estate lenders have responded to increased risk and higher costs of capital in the market by clamping down on the amount of debt they offer to borrowers.

Deal Volume Continues To Fall, Declining To $4.9B
Transactions dropped 35% in February, as prices decreased 8.9%.

Fed Officials Are Now Considering Fewer Rate Cuts This Year
Americans hamstrung by high borrowing costs on car loans, mortgages and credit cards shouldn’t expect much of a break this year.

State Farm Will Exit Commercial Apartment Insurance in CA
The insurer will also send nonrenewal notices on approximately 30,000 homeowners, rental dwelling and other property insurance policies

Bank Economists See Soft Landing, Three Rate Cuts by Fed
 A “gentle” easing cycle by the Federal Reserve will start around mid-year, facilitating trend-like GDP growth.

US Economy Continues To Shine With Help From Consumers, Labor Market
"The economy is in good shape," said Bill Adams, chief economist at Comerica Bank in Dallas. "It is operating on a more even keel than during the pandemic and its immediate aftermath."

Orange County

Live MLS Link PDF Link

Orange County Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 4.44%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.74
9
Closed Sales Last Week
56
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$1,883,444
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
1
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
5
Financed Transactions Last Week
4
All Cash Transactions Last Week
7
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
2
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

13
New Listings Last Week
6
Months of Inventory
203
Total Number of Active Listings
$666,880,185
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
11
Active Under Contract Last Week
5
Pending Listings Last Week
5
Expired Listings Last Week

Southern California

Live MLS Link PDF Link

Southern California Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 4.63%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.13
6
Closed Sales Last Week
21
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$1,466,167
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
3
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
3
Financed Transactions Last Week
3
All Cash Transactions Last Week
3
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
3
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

2
New Listings Last Week
10
Months of Inventory
124
Total Number of Active Listings
$419,989,732
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
2
Active Under Contract Last Week
5
Pending Listings Last Week
3
Expired Listings Last Week

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