So Cal Multifamily Sales Pulse - February 18, 2024 - February 24, 2024

Disclaimer: All information contained herein is obtained from sources believed reliable. We have not verified it and make no guarantee, warranty or representation about it. Any projections, opinions, assumptions or estimates used are for example only. We make no claim(s) as to the accuracy or reliability of the information presented. If you wish for us to analyze your specific property or situation please feel free to call or email us anytime.


Here's What's Happening In The Market, Here’s What This Means For You

Multifamily Construction Starts Plunge Nearly 36% in January
Multifamily construction starts fell in January to the lowest level since the onset of the pandemic, according to Census Bureau.

Economists: Recession on Horizon
How is it that there has not been one fulltime job created in the United States since last February?

Former CEO: High Interest Rates 'Killing' Companies As Layoffs Continue
Inflation has led to high costs of materials, goods and services, and higher wages but businesses say they cannot afford high interest rates.

Watchdog Unable to Determine if U.S. Financial Statements Are Reliable
the federal government continues to operate on an unsustainable fiscal path, jeopardizing the country’s long-term position to face domestic and international challenges.

U.S. Former Security Advisor Predicts Economic Doom
Turbulence is brewing on the financial horizon, and if you’re not yet in the loop, it’s high time you catch up. 

CA Home Sales Reach Highest Level in Six Months
California existing home sales rebounded in January to the highest level in six months as mortgage rates pulled back sharply at the end of 2023.

Quality of Certain Bank Multifamily Loans to Deteriorate
Loans on past-due or non-accruing status are still below long-term averages.

Single-Family Own vs. Rent Gap Widens
Northmarq finds a spike of approximately $275 per month from the same period at the end of 2022.

Big Banks Are Low on Reserves for Delinquent CRE Loans
The drop happened during the last year, even as regulators focused on potential CRE loan losses.

Construction Costs Expected to Increase as Much as 6% This Year
The cost increase will vary from 3.5% to 6% depending on the city.

Debt Restructuring Options for CRE Owners
There are several broad categories to restructure and manage existing debt.

Commercial Real Estate Lending Market Shows Signs of Stabilization in Q4 2023
The commercial real estate lending market demonstrated signs of stabilization at the end of 2023, with borrowing costs appearing to have peaked, even as transaction activity remains subdued, according to the latest research from CBRE.

California Bill Would Require Landlords To Accept Pets: Report
The bill is intended to “bar property owners from asking about pets on applications, prohibit additional monthly fees for pet owners, also known as ‘pet rent,’ and limit pet deposits.”

Covid-Era Back Rent Beginning To Flow For Apartment Landlords
After nearly four years, the country’s largest apartment owners are beginning to see revenue trickle in from units where renters were protected by pandemic-inspired moratoriums from evictions or rising rents.

Another Inflation Signal: Producer Prices Unexpectedly Spike
According to the latest data from the BLS, the Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 0.3 percent. The projection was for a much smaller 0.1 percent gain. It was the biggest jump in wholesale prices since August.

What Dealmakers are Doing as They Wait for Fed to Lower Rates
Borrowers are still concerned given volatility could creep back into the market.

Investors Fret About a Possible Rate Hike
But they are likely jumping to conclusions too early and looking too much at information that may already be out of date.

Rethinking the Latest Inflation Data
CRE investors should look to add value, think long term.

Bad CRE Loans Outstrip Loss Reserves at Major Banks 
Bad commercial real estate loans have overtaken loss reserves at the biggest U.S. banks after a sharp increase in late payments linked to offices, shopping centers and other properties.

Pandemic Back Rent Becomes Revenue Stream for L.A. Landlords
Apartment rents owed from 2020 through 2023 can now be collected.

Home Depot Sales Drop Reflects Slowdown In Housing Market
Home Depot Inc. reported a fifth straight comparable sales decline, underscoring a drop in demand for house improvement due to high mortgage rates and a slowdown in construction.

Fed Officials Expressed Caution About Lowering Rates Too Quickly At Last Meeting, Minutes Show
Federal Reserve officials indicated at their last meeting that they were in no hurry to cut interest rates and expressed both optimism and caution on inflation.

Fed Minutes Show Caution About Moving Too Fast on Rate Cuts
More Federal Reserve officials are concerned about cutting interest rates too quickly than are worried about going too slowly.

Fed To Cut US Rates In June, Risks Skewed Towards Later Move: Reuters Poll
The greater risk was the first rate cut would come later than forecast rather than earlier.

Commercial Foreclosures Are Steadily Rising
One impact is that tenant reps have become more cautious about a building's loan status.

 

Orange County

Live MLS Link PDF Link

Orange County Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 4.47%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.63
14
Closed Sales Last Week
29
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$1,681,825
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
6
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
7
Financed Transactions Last Week
7
All Cash Transactions Last Week
13
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
1
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

18
New Listings Last Week
7
Months of Inventory
186
Total Number of Active Listings
$617,131,566
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
5
Active Under Contract Last Week
4
Pending Listings Last Week
3
Expired Listings Last Week

Southern California

Live MLS Link PDF Link

Southern California Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 4.63%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.15
4
Closed Sales Last Week
34
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$1,255,750
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
1
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
4
Financed Transactions Last Week
0
All Cash Transactions Last Week
3
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
1
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

5
New Listings Last Week
12
Months of Inventory
128
Total Number of Active Listings
$440,543,710
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
5
Active Under Contract Last Week
1
Pending Listings Last Week
0
Expired Listings Last Week

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