So Cal Multifamily Sales Pulse - February 11, 2024 - February 17, 2024

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Here's What's Happening In The Market, Here’s What This Means For You

US Asking Rent Posts Biggest Jump in Nearly a Year But Larger Trends Persist
Home-buying is not getting much traction, though.

Economists Fear These Factors Could Derail the Soft Landing
Partisan conflict and a too-tight monetary policy are on the list.

MBA Chief Economist Predicts Downturn for US Economy This Year
He also believes the Fed will succeed in further reducing inflation.

Mortgage Delinquency Rate Continues to Rise
For Q4 the rate was up 26 basis points from Q3 but down 8 basis points from one year ago.

Rents Dip Across Southern California — But Not In Orange County
Apartment dwellers in OC paid 2.2% more last year as people left big cities for suburbs

Household Debt Tops $17.5 Trillion And Americans Are Feeling The Strain
You’ve got to give credit to Visa, Mastercard, Discover and Amex. They’ve managed to build one heck of a booming economy.

Small Apartment Landlords Eye Rent Increases This Year
At the same time, two-thirds of tenants plan to investigate other housing options.

Another Firm Says Now Is the Time to Invest In CRE
Expect lenders and services to keep modifying existing loans to recover as much as they can.

How Much Can Your Rent Go Up In California? Check This Website
California Atty. Gen. Rob Bonta on Wednesday announced new consumer tools for tenants and landlords to understand how much rent can rise each year under a state rent cap law.

MBA: Mortgage Delinquency Rate Inched Up In Q4 2023
The fourth quarter’s delinquency rate was up 26 basis points from the third quarter but down 8 basis points from one year earlier. 

Bill to Expand California Rent Control is a Nonstarter
he California Apartment Association (CAA) announced that legislative proposal to broaden the scope of rent control in California has been halted. 

Commercial-Property Loans Coming Due In US Jump To $929 Billion
About $4.7 trillion of debt is backed by commercial real estate, ratcheting up concern among regulators and investors

Rising Rents Push US Inflation Higher; Rate Cuts Still Expected In 2024
U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in January amid a surge in the cost of rental housing, but the pick-up in inflation did not change expectations the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates in the first half of this year.

A Banking Crisis Is Quietly Brewing
The Federal Reserve’s most recent policy statement came with a curious omission. Fed officials removed language from previous statements that proclaimed “the U.S. banking system is sound and resilient.”

Will Refinancing Become Easier This Year?
When you’re still riding a roller coaster, it’s hard to predict.

Elevated Apartment Supply Won't Bottom Out Until 2026
But data from individual metros show that the decline in new apartment supply has already begun in some markets

More CRE Debt Is Maturing This Year Than Estimated Earlier
Extensions and modifications will kick up that number to $929 billion from $659 billion.

Employment Data Not Swaying Fed to Cut Interest Rates Right Away
“The Fed feels good about where things are now, and don't feel any urgency to make a rate cut."

The Fed Hasn’t Done Enough to Beat Price Inflation
Price inflation was supposed to be dead and buried months ago. But it’s doing just fine, thank you very much. 

These New Regulations Will Bite CRE
Figures in the CRE lending world are pointing to an emergency.

What the Decline in January Retail Sales Actually Means
Consumers may finally be shifting their behaviors. Then again, the numbers could be off.


Feds Weigh Greater Scrutiny of Regional Banks with High CRE Exposure
A trio of regulators, including the Federal Reserve, FDIC and Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, publicly warned the industry last year to carefully assess any large exposures to debt on office buildings, retail storefronts and other commercial properties.

Orange County

Live MLS Link PDF Link

Orange County Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 4.47%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.63
4
Closed Sales Last Week
67
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$2,567,256
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
2
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
1
Financed Transactions Last Week
3
All Cash Transactions Last Week
3
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
1
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

12
New Listings Last Week
7
Months of Inventory
175
Total Number of Active Listings
$617,549,566
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
3
Active Under Contract Last Week
3
Pending Listings Last Week
2
Expired Listings Last Week

Southern California

Live MLS Link PDF Link

Southern California Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 4.63%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.15
2
Closed Sales Last Week
136
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$3,707,500
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
1
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
1
Financed Transactions Last Week
1
All Cash Transactions Last Week
0
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
2
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

9
New Listings Last Week
12
Months of Inventory
133
Total Number of Active Listings
$439,014,710
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
1
Active Under Contract Last Week
5
Pending Listings Last Week
1
Expired Listings Last Week

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