So Cal Multifamily Sales Pulse - August 11, 2024 - August 17, 2024

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Here's What's Happening In The Market, Here’s What This Means For You

Multifamily Developers Become More Pessimistic in Q2
The segment of production most affected was mid/high rise.
New Survey Captures a Surge in Renters Planning to Move
It also provided insights into virtual tours and brand loyalty.
The Not-So-Hidden Secret of Multifamily Distress
Like the Fed warned, office properties aren't the only ones presenting risk.
CRE Market Shows Resilience Despite Recent Economic Volatility
CMBS issues continued during the month and lending spreads remained stable.
Multifamily CLO Distress Is Spiking, And Apartment Flippers Are In The Line Of Fire
Nearly $57B of multifamily loans are in potential trouble, according to new numbers from MSCI, spelling potential peril for opportunistic investors.
Real Estate Value-Add Funds Rake In Fresh Capital
Value-add strategies have the backing of institutional money, but where will it be deployed?
California Legislature Passes Bills To Curb Retail Theft Over Objections From Some Democrats
California lawmakers gave final approval to a package of 10 bills meant to combat retail theft.
Will the July Jobs Report Pressure the Fed to Act?
Multifamily investors and lenders could be coaxed off the sidelines if there is confidence interest rates will fall in September.
Another Stable Month for Apartments
Apartment occupancy stayed at 94.2% in July, while rent growth increased 0.3% year-over-year.
Budget-Strapped Consumers Are Driving Down Inflation
The search for lower prices might rein in corporations, opening the door for Fed rate cuts.
Hotel Investment Sales Plunge in California
Dollar volume, average sales price drops nearly 50% in H1 2024.
More Southern California Landlords Offer Deals To New Renters
Southern California renters are winning more concessions when they sign new contracts, an indication that surging apartment construction is easing the supply squeeze.
Contractor Confidence Tumbles in July, Construction Backlog Unchanged
Only the largest contractors, those with greater than $100 million in annual revenues, have longer backlog than one year ago. 
People Making $200,000 Or More Are Flocking To These 10 States: Florida Is No. 1
More high-income households have left California and New York than moved in, but some states saw the opposite.
Multifamily Acquisitions Spike
There were $38.8B worth of apartment sales in Q2, 20.4% more than the year prior. It’s the first time since Q2 2022 that there was a positive change in volumes. 
Cooling July Inflation Sets Stage for Fed’s September Rate Cut
Data marks the first time the CPI edges firmly below 3% since early 2021.
Morgan Stanley Expects A Soft Landing And Three 25 Basis Point Cuts In 2024
They expect continued declines in inflation to drive the cutting cycle, with three 25bp cuts in 2024 starting at the September FOMC meeting.
CPI Inflation Report Upsets Betting On Big Federal Reserve Rate Cut
On a monthly basis, price pressures edged 0.2% higher, thanks in part to a modest 4 cents per gallon increase in domestic gasoline prices.
Funds Are Sitting On Billions In Dry Powder. Will They Actually Spend It?
Global private equity and venture capital funds have a record $2.6T in uncommitted capital waiting to close deals.
U.S. Foreclosure Activity Sees A Monthly Increase In July 2024
Default notices, scheduled auctions or bank repossessions — up 15 percent from a month ago and up slightly by .2 percent from a year ago. 
Redfin Reports Investor Home Purchases Post Biggest Increase in Two Years
Investors bought 1 of every 6 U.S. homes that sold—purchasing $43 billion worth of properties—and 1 of every 4 low-priced homes that sold.
Retail Store Closures Surpass Openings As Bankruptcies Rise
For the first time this year, U.S. store closures surpassed openings, driven by a wave of retail bankruptcies.

Orange County

Live MLS Link PDF Link

Orange County Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 4.44%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.74
12
Closed Sales Last Week
45
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$1,834,583
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
4
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
9
Financed Transactions Last Week
3
All Cash Transactions Last Week
11
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
1
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

14
New Listings Last Week
8
Months of Inventory
282
Total Number of Active Listings
$980,479,840
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
10
Active Under Contract Last Week
10
Pending Listings Last Week
4
Expired Listings Last Week

Southern California

Live MLS Link PDF Link

Southern California Closed Sales - MikeLembeck.com

Avg. Cap Rate: 4.63%
Avg. Gross Rent Multiplier: 14.15
Closed Sales Last Week
78
Closed Sales - Average Days on Market
$1,301,890
Closed Sales - Average Sales Price
6
Transactions Sold At or Above Asking Price
8
Financed Transactions Last Week
2
All Cash Transactions Last Week
8
2-4 Unit Transactions Last Week
2
5+ Unit Transactions Last Week

5
New Listings Last Week
8
Months of Inventory
163
Total Number of Active Listings
$490,343,806
Active Listings, Dollar Volume
4
Active Under Contract Last Week
3
Pending Listings Last Week
6
Expired Listings Last Week

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